He said he was retiring. He said he was done, and yet, here we are. The Gypsy King, Tyson Fury, is lacing up his gloves once again for what promises to be a cracker of a heavyweight showdown on 11 April 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. It’s going to be Fury’s first outing on British soil since his TKO win over Derek Chisora in December of 2022. He has something to prove after back-to-back losses against Oleksandr Usyk dented his glittering legacy. A home crowd, Netflix audience and one very dangerous opponent stand in the way between Gypsy King and redemption.
That opponent is Arslanbek Makhmudov — the Montreal-based, Russian-born “Lion” with a 90.5 % KO ratio after 21 professional wins in 23 tries. Even the most seasoned trainers and UK boxing fans will raise an eyebrow to these numbers. In this preview, we’ll break down the fight details, the tale of the tape and learn what the 7bet UK sports betting platform predicts.
Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov: Fight Details
| Date | Saturday, 11 April 2026 |
| Time | Main card from 7:00 pm BST; Fury vs Makhmudov ring walks expected ~10:00 pm BST |
| Location | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England |
| Broadcast | Netflix (free for all UK subscribers, no PPV) |
| Title | Non-title bout — Heavyweight |
You can find pre-fight betting odds at 7bet UK, available now. While there is no belt or title on the line, the stakes are high for both athletes. A Fury victory would re-establish his credentials for a potential 3rd crack at the undisputed crown. As for Makhmudov, an upset would be the most seismic result in his career and in the heavyweight division in years.
Tyson Fury vs Arslanbek Makhmudov: Betting Markets
Please keep in mind that odds are correct at the time of writing and can move in either direction pre-fight. Always track the latest lines and gamble responsibly, within your financial means.
About the Odds | How to Read & Format Change
By default, odds in our sportsbook are shown in the fractional UK format.
Let’s say you fancy boxer A to win at 5/1 and wager £10. If they win, you pocket £60 total (£50 profit + £10 initial stake back).
Longer odds (e.g., 5/1, 17/4) indicate underdogs and outcomes considered less likely. Shorter odds (e.g. 1/3, 0.25/1) display favourites and outcomes that have higher implied probabilities.
Remember that odds aren’t guarantees and only reflect probabilities, viewed by the bookmaker. Also, bettors can change the odds format from decimal (e.g., 2.00) to American odds (e.g., -130) with a few clicks. You can always view the latest Fury vs Makhmudov odds on our sportsbook.
Winner
| Tyson Fury | Arslanbek Makhmudov |
|---|---|
| 1/7 | 4/1 |
The Winner market is the most straightforward and clear-cut pick in boxing betting. Back one fighter to win, regardless of how they get there. If you choose correctly, you profit according to the odds.
Despite two losses in succession, Fury is entering the stakes as an 87.5% favourite in our books. His three-inch height advantage over the powerful challenger, along with his championship experience, can play a huge role. That said, Makhmudov’s nuclear punch power means he still has a 20% shot, according to the books. A 90+% KO rate demands respect.
Method of Victory
| Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tyson Fury by KO/TKO or Disqualification | 8/17 |
| Tyson Fury by Decision or Technical Decision | 16/5 |
| Draw | 17/1 |
| Arslanbek Makhmudov by KO/TKO or Disqualification | 6/1 |
| Arslanbek Makhmudov by Decision or Technical Decision | 16/5 |
This market requires a degree more precision. Bettors need to guess not just who wins the bout, but also how that win will be achieved. In boxing, a few fight outcomes exist:
- KO or TKO
- Decision
- Disqualification
- Draws
For this fight, the numbers suggest that Tyson Fury by KO/TKO or Disqualification is the most likely outcome, with an implied probability of 68%. Given the Gypsy King’s physical advantage and former championship pedigree, it aligns with the fact that he’s considered the general favourite in the books.
In addition, what’s interesting is that both fighters receive a ~23.8% shot from the books to win by decision or technical decision. When we take into account Makhmudov’s stoppage record and Fury’s evasive ability, it’s no surprise.
Will the Fight Go the Distance?
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 9/4 | 10/33 |
This market is popular amongst bettors with a clear view of whether the judges are going to be needed. Given Makhmudov’s power and Fury’s legendary durability, this may be one of the hardest markets to predict heading into 11 April. The odds can shift, but as of now, “No” is positioned as the more likely outcome with a 76.7% implied probability. “Yes” gets around 30%.
Other Popular Boxing Betting Markets
There are a few other popular boxing betting markets that players can often find on our sportsbook. Let’s overview them one by one.
- Round Total – invites gamers to predict whether the fight lasts more or fewer rounds than a designated threshold. For example, ‘Over 7.5’ needs the 8th round to start, while ‘Under 7.5’ would require one of the boxers to finish business beforehand. It’s always an interesting market with dynamic odds and plenty of micro-choices for Over & Under bets.
- Winner & Exact Round – if you are a player with a higher risk tolerance, you might be interested in these bets. They offer higher returns but require you to correctly predict both the winner and the exact round (or an interval of rounds) in which the bout ends.
- IN-PLAY Betting – place bets on various markets while the fight is ongoing. Odds change in real-time, but you can take advantage of the eye test and make picks on the go by using the freshest possible analysis.
Tyson Fury – ‘The Gypsy King’ (34-2-1, 24 KOs)
While the realm of British boxing has always been filled with characters, Tyson Fury stands in a category of his own. He’s a two-time world title holder and the man who famously rose from the canvas in the 12th to draw against Deontay Wilder before eventually stopping him twice. This has allowed the Briton to carve out a place in heavyweight history that few can rival.
At 6’9” with an 85-inch reach, Fury is both one of the most physically imposing and technically elusive heavyweights from the last 3 decades. Such a rare combination of skills and genetics allowed Fury to flourish and become a legend of the ring.
However, two losses to Usyk humbled Fury, but context is needed. He lost to the finest pound-for-pound fighter on the planet right now, or, as some would say, ever. Now back in front of a sold-out London crowd, Fury will have to be more motivated. That’s an additional push for him that the Saudi environment could not generate.
Some experts claim that Fury (37) is going to combat Father Time just as much as Makhmudov. However, his rival is only a year younger. Take into account Gypsy King’s ability to tie up and smother, and you can see why he may not age as quickly as more athletic heavyweights. If he arrives in shape and focused, Fury might show he still has a lot left in the tank.
Tyson Fury — Last 5 Fights
| Opponent | Date | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Usyk | December 2024 | Loss (UD) |
| Oleksandr Usyk | May 2024 | Loss (SD) |
| Francis Ngannou | October 2023 | Win (SD) |
| Derek Chisora | December 2022 | Win (TKO, R10) |
| Dillian Whyte | April 2022 | Win (TKO, R6) |
Arslanbek Makhmudov — ‘The Lion’ (21-2, 19 KOs)
In recent years, we have seen more and more heavyweights flourish in their 30’s. Oleksandr Usyk is a prime example, but so is Arslanbek Makhmudov, rapidly establishing himself as the most feared puncher in the heavyweight division. Born in Russia, and now fighting out of Montreal, the 36-year-old ‘Lion’ carries a 90% KO ratio. You read that right:
- 19 stoppages from 21 wins
- 13 of those KOs came in the first round
Makhmudov seems to favour handling business as swiftly as possible. Yet all that power hasn’t made him invincible. Over time, as the level of competition grew, Arslanbek Makhmudov collected two TKO losses. The Russian lost to German superstar Agit Kabayel and to Italian Guido Vianello in a 9-month span. These two defeats showed that when you force Makhmudov to trade, rather than hunt, he becomes much more vulnerable.
Luckily for fans, ‘The Lion’ bounced back with 2 consecutive wins. The decision win over Dave Allen in October of last year was particularly impressive. It showed that Makhmudov has more than one-punch power.
Against Fury, it’s going to be a tough challenge for him. While the Russian seems to be the most explosive raw-power threat of Gypsy King’s career, it won’t be easy catching an elusive target.
Arslanbek Makhmudov — Last 5 Fights
| Opponent | Date | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dave Allen | October 2025 | Win (UD) |
| Ricardo Brown | June 2025 | Win (KO, R1) |
| Guido Vianello | August 2024 | Loss (TKO, R8) |
| Miljan Rovcanin | May 2024 | Win (KO, R2) |
| Agit Kabayel | December 2023 | Loss (TKO, R4) |
Tale of the Tape
| Tyson Fury | Arslanbek Makhmudov | |
|---|---|---|
| Age (on Fight Night) | 37 | 36 |
| Nickname | The Gypsy King | The Lion |
| Height | 6’9″ / 206 cm | 6’6″ / 197 cm |
| Reach | 85″ / 216 cm | 77.6″ / 197 cm |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Professional Record | 34-2-1, 24 KOs | 21-2, 19 KOs |
| KO Ratio | ~65% | ~90% |
| Pro Debut | 2008 | 2017 |
The numbers tell a fascinating story. While Fury holds advantages in reach, height, and experience, Makhmudov has a much more imposing finishing rate. Both men also carry their chins, with the Gypsy King having never been stopped in his career. And since Makhmudov’s both defeats came in that particular fashion, Fury’s corner definitely has that detail on lock.
How to Watch Fury vs Makhmudov in the UK?
For the first time in Fury’s career, his major fight will be streamed exclusively on Netflix. There is no PPV charge, so all existing UK Netflix subscribers can watch the main card at no additional cost.
The main card should begin on 11 April, 7:00 PM BST, with the main-event ring walks expected from 10:00 PM BST.
It’s worth tuning in early as the co-main event of Conor Benn vs Regis Prograis is especially compelling. You can find odds for the co-main event and most main card bouts on 7bet, too!
FAQ
Who Is the Favourite in Fury vs Makhmudov?
As of now, Tyson Fury enters the markets as an 87.5% favourite. However, Makhmudov carries a 90% KO ratio, meaning that he’s not a person you can just look past. The implied probabilities on our sportsbook can change to reflect the full picture as fight week approaches.
How Many Spectators Will Attend the Event?
In full capacity, the Hotspurs Stadium should accommodate around 65,000 fans. However, with some tickets still available, the figure is expected to be between 60 and 65 thousand.
Is There a World Title on the Line?
For this fight, no belt or title is on the line. However, a dominant Fury victory or a huge upset from Makhmudov might allow them to inch closer towards a potential shot.
Is the Fight Free to Stream on Netflix?
Yes, if you’re already a Netflix subscriber in the UK, you can just launch the app on fight day and see the stream with no additional PPV charge.
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