There’s nothing routine about a cup semi‑final, especially when the holders need a miracle to stay alive. On Wednesday 4 February, the second leg of the Carabao Cup semi‑final sees Manchester City host Newcastle at the Etihad Stadium. Kick‑off is scheduled for 8 PM (UK time).
Pep Guardiola’s men carry a 2-0 aggregate lead after a disciplined away performance at St James’ Park, where Antoine Semenyo struck on 53 minutes and Cherki added a stoppage‑time clincher. Newcastle, the reigning champions, couldn’t break down City’s defence and now need a heroic comeback. The reward is a place at Wembley.
Manchester City vs Newcastle – Betting Odds
The current odds from our bookmakers reflect City’s dominance in the first leg, but there are still plenty of ways to find value. Below we explain what each market means and highlight the key numbers. As always, make sure to re-check the most updated Manchester City vs Newcastle betting odds before placing your bets.
1X2 Betting Odds
The 1×2 market is the simplest way to bet on the Man City vs Newcastle odds. Here, “1” denotes a home win, “X” a draw and “2” an away win. If you back “1” and City win the match in 90 minutes, your wager lands. A draw or away victory will see it lost. Similarly, a bet on “X” only pays if the match is level after normal time, while “2” requires Newcastle to win outright.
| Man City win (1) | Draw (X) | Newcastle win (2) |
| 7/9 | 13/5 | 3/1 |
These prices underline how heavily favoured Guardiola’s side are. As a punter, you’re effectively being asked whether Newcastle can overturn a two‑goal deficit at a ground where City rarely lose. If you’re looking for longer odds but still believe in a Magpies miracle, the price on an away win is your ticket.
Double Chance Odds
The double chance market is designed for bettors who crave a safer bet. Instead of wagering on a single outcome, you cover two of the three possible results. The three options are:
- 1X – Manchester City or draw: You win if City win or the match is level after 90 minutes. Because you’re covering two outcomes, the return is smaller than in the 1X2 market.
- 12 – Manchester City or Newcastle United: This bet pays out if either team wins within normal time. You only lose if the game ends in a draw.
- X2 – Draw or Newcastle United: This is the outsider’s safety net. It lands if Newcastle avoid defeat. Both a draw and an away victory count as winners.
Double‑chance bets are popular because they increase the likelihood of a payout. However, the trade‑off is shorter odds.
| 1X – Man City or draw | 12 – Man City or Newcastle | X2 – Draw or Newcastle |
| 2/9 | 4/15 | 7/8 |
Handicap Betting Odds
Handicap markets are designed to balance a contest between uneven teams by giving one side a virtual head‑start or a disadvantage. Below we provide a couple of examples, but you can choose the handicap you prefer.
The best part about this market is that handicaps add nuance. By adjusting the starting score you can back a strong favourite at bigger odds or side with the underdog while protecting against a narrow defeat.
The favourite receives a negative handicap (minus goals) and must win by more than that amount for the bet to succeed, while the underdog receives a positive handicap and can still lose by a smaller margin.
| Man City -0.5 | Newcastle +0.5 |
| 3/4 | 14/15 |
| Man City -1 | Newcastle +1 |
| 9/7 | 9/17 |
As a rule of thumb, the bigger the handicap you give a favourite, the greater the potential payout – but the harder the bet is to land. Considering City’s control in the first leg and home advantage, a -0.5 handicap is less risky than backing them to win by two or more.
Explore betting markets for EFL Cup
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Odds
The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market is a yes/no wager on whether both sides will score at least one goal. It doesn’t matter who wins or how many goals are scored, as long as both clubs get on the scoresheet.
If you select Yes, you need both Manchester City and Newcastle to find the net. If you choose No, your bet wins if at least one team fails to score.
In this tie, the prices suggest the market expects goals from both teams. Given City’s clean sheet in the first leg and Newcastle’s need to attack, punters must decide whether Howe’s men can break down one of the Premier League’s stingiest defences.
| Yes | No |
| 7/12 | 7/6 |
Goal Total (Over/Under) Odds
Over/under bets allow you to speculate on the total number of goals, regardless of the winner. The most common line is 2.5 goals; “over” requires three or more goals, while “under” succeeds if two or fewer are scored. If you think the match will be cagey, perhaps because City will sit on their lead, under 2.5 may appeal. If you expect an open game with Newcastle chasing and City counter‑attacking, over 2.5 could be the play.
Remember, this is just an example. You’re free to set the line wherever you want.
| Over 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals |
| 3/5 | 11/10 |
Correct Score Odds
Predicting the exact score is notoriously difficult but can yield amazing returns. We included some possible scorelines below, but you can bet on whatever result you prefer. Just remember that any deviation from the predicted score means the bet loses.
- 0-0 draw: At 13/1, a goalless stalemate is seen as unlikely. Punters who believe both defences will hold firm may find this appealing.
- 1-1 draw: This outcome would be enough to send City through but knock over BTTS backers.
- City 1-0 Newcastle: This covers a narrow City victory. Given Newcastle must attack, you would need faith in City’s ability to absorb pressure and nick a single goal.
- City 2-1 Newcastle: At 7/1, this is a popular selection for those who see City’s firepower and Newcastle’s urgency combining for an entertaining but ultimately home‑leaning scoreline.
| 0–0 | 1-1 | Man City 1-0 | Man City 2-1 |
| 13/1 | 17/3 | 15/2 | 7/1 |
Odds are correct at the time of publication but are subject to change. Always check the latest prices before placing a bet.
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