The UFC returns to T-Mobile Arena in Vegas on Saturday, 7 March 2026. The main bout in this show-stopping event is one of the more eagerly anticipated matchups of the past few years. It’s a Lightweight bout for the BMF belt. More than a decade after their first meeting, former Lightweight champ Max Holloway will square up against another former champ in the division – Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira. 7bet has a full range of UFC betting markets for this event. So, if you’re interested, let’s look at the Tale of the Tape and analyse how the fight may pan out.
UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2: Fight Details
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- Date: Saturday, 7 March 2026 (Main Card starts ~2:00 AM GMT Sunday, 8 March)
- Time: Main event is expected to start no earlier than ~4:30 AM GMT
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
- At stake: UFC BMF Championship
- Betting available at 7bet UK
More than a decade ago, Holloway and Oliveira met. The former won with a first-round TKO and continued on to what eventually became a 13-win streak. However, a lot of time has passed, and both of these gladiators carved Hall-of-Fame-worthy legacies. Who will come out on top in 2026? Only time will tell!
UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2: Betting
In this section of the preview, we will look at the UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 betting odds. Please remember that they are accurate at the time of writing this preview and could move in either direction before the event.
Disclaimer: Know this Before Placing UFC 326 Bets
By default, 7bet displays odds in the fractional (UK) format. They can be long (e.g., 5/1) or short (e.g., 1/3), indicating a favourite or a more likely outcome, and an underdog, respectively. As fight night approaches, odds can move in either direction based on news, injury updates, or other developments.
Make sure you understand these numbers and the risks involved before placing real money bets.
With that being said, probabilities and odds aren’t guarantees. They only indicate implied likelihoods, so gamble responsibly.
Winner
| Max Holloway | Charles Oliveira |
| 5/12 | 5/3 |
This market is one of the most popular ones for every UFC fight. With it, bettors choose to back either of the two fighters to win outright. Whether that win comes by KO/TKO, submission or decision – doesn’t matter. It’s only relevant if their hand is raised after the bout has completed.
As of now, Holloway is the early favourite in the books, with around 70% chance of victory. However, retaining the BMF belt against Oliveira, UFC’s all-time leader in submissions (22), will be no easy feat. The Brazilian is given ~35-40% chance by the books.
Will the Fight Go the Distance?
| Yes | No |
| 19/10 | 4/11 |
Instead of focusing on the outright winner, this bet allows our customers to anticipate whether the outcome is going to be determined by the judges. This means no KO/TKOs or submissions. Pick ‘Yes’ if you expect a closer contest or ‘No’ if you believe that there will be a premature end.
As of now, the books seem to expect a repeat of the 2015 fight, with Holloway as the favourite and ‘No’ as the much more likely outcome, according to the numbers. Holloway has a dozen KO/TKO wins while Oliveira boasts 22 submission victories. Yet, with two athletes of their calibre, if neither manages to get an upper hand, we might see a decision victory, so tread carefully.
Round Total
| Total | Odds |
| Over 2.5 | 3/5 |
| Over 3.5 | 24/25 |
| Over 4.5 | 6/4 |
| Under 2.5 | 6/5 |
| Under 3.5 | 3/4 |
| Under 4.5 | 8/17 |
The ‘Round Total’ market offers the Under and Over picks with specific round thresholds. Pick ‘Over’ if you believe that the bout will last longer and ‘Under’ if you expect one gladiator to take care of business earlier.
As of now, before UFC 326, ‘Over 2.5’ and ‘Under 4.5’ have the shortest odds from the lot. This means that the books most expect the favourite, Holloway, to take care of business somewhere in the 3rd or 4th round.
Some interesting stats worth knowing:
- Out of the last 10 Holloway’s fights, 7 went the distance and 3 ended prematurely. However, his UFC 300 win came in the very last second of the bout. In total, he’s 6-4 over that stretch.
- Out of the last 10 Oliveira fights, 3 went the distance and 7 ended prematurely. He’s 7-3 over that stretch.
Other Popular Markets
Of course, you can also find plenty of other betting markets for the UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 event. Let’s look at them one by one.
- Method of Victory – to win, you must pick the fighter and the method of victory simultaneously. For example, you can back Max Holloway to win by KO/TKO or Charles Oliveira to win by submission, etc. Your bet only cashes if you guessed right. Rounds don’t matter, only the winner and the method.
- Winner & Exact Rounds – if you choose this market, you will need to correctly guess the winner and the exact round the bout finishes in. While the prices are higher (because of the multiple moving parts), the profit potential is too. Keep in mind that it’s difficult to guess correctly, so act responsibly.
- IN-PLAY Betting – if you are watching UFC events live, 7bet offers Live (IN-PLAY) betting. You can place wagers while the fight is going on. This allows you to take advantage of visible dynamic changes and bet based on the Eye test. However, odds change swiftly, so you need to be quick, yet responsible.
Max Holloway – “Blessed”
Record: 27-8 (12 wins by KO) – Current BMF Title Holder, Former Lightweight Champ
The veteran is one of the greatest strikers in UFC history and a must-see-TV type of fighter. He holds the record for the most significant strikes landed in a single fight (445 against Calvin Kattar) and remains one of the top contenders in the division at 34 years old.
Compared to Oliveira, Holloway proves to be much more active, averaging twice as many significant strikes per minute (7.24 vs 3.48). While he often goes out guns blazing, Holloway has a very underrated takedown defence, sitting at 83%.
Former top dog in the Lightweight division, Holloway is 4-1 in his last 5 outings. He lost to Ilia Topuria in UFC 308, but has beaten Justin Gaethje and Dustin Poirier over that stretch to prove there’s still plenty more in the tank. As of now, “Blessed” holds the symbolic BMF (Baddest Mo’Fo) title, which he not only won but has since defended.
That loss to Topuria is the only real blemish on his legacy. At 34 years old, Holloway shows no signs of decline, but this rematch, a decade in the making, might be his toughest test, apart from fighting Topuria. It’s interesting to see how well Holloway will do!
Max Holloway – Last 5 Fights
| Opponent | Date | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dustin Poirier | July 19, 2025 | Win (UD) |
| Ilia Topuria | October 26, 2024 | Loss (KO, R3) |
| Justin Gaethje | April 13, 2024 | Win (KO, R5) |
| Jung Chan-sung | August 26, 2023 | Win (KO, R1) |
| Arnold Allen | April 15, 2023 | Win (UD) |
Charles Oliveira – “Do Bronx”
Record: 36-11, 1 NC (22 Submission Wins)
A submission artist and one of the prime examples of how the teachings of BJJ translate to the UFC’s octagon. However, such praise wouldn’t be enough to describe one of the most decorated Lightweights in UFC’s history. He holds the record for most submissions, all time (17 in the UFC) and held the division title for a while.
However, after claiming the belt in 2021, he missed weight and unfortunately saw it stripped. He has challenged for the belt twice since, but unfortunately lost out to all-time greats – Islam Makhachev and Ilia Topuria.
At 36, he still proves to be a force to be reckoned with, but recent results also show that Oliveira is far from invincible. Over his last 6 bouts, the Brazilian is 3-3, unable to topple the most formidable foes, including the aforementioned two and Arman Tsarukyan.
His most recent outing – a submission win over Mateusz Gamrot – was a reminder of just how dangerous “Do Bronx” remains on the ground. He won in Round 2 and showed that the former Champ had the crown for a reason. If the fight goes to the ground, it can be a tough challenge for Holloway. In addition, the Brazilian will be out for revenge, as the pair’s 2015 outing ended in Holloway’s favour.
Paddy Pimblett – Last 5 Fights
| Opponent | Date | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Gamrot | October 11, 2025 | Win (Submission, R2) |
| Ilia Topuria | June 28, 2025 | Loss (KO, R1) |
| Michael Chandler | November 16, 2024 | Win (UD) |
| Arman Tsarukyan | April 13, 2024 | Loss (SD) |
| Beneil Dariush | June 10, 2023 | Win (TKO, R1) |
Tale of the Tape
| Attribute | Max Holloway | Charles Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Age (fight week) | 34 (born Dec 1991) | 36 (born Oct 1989) |
| Height | 5’11” (180 cm) | 5’10” (178 cm) |
| Reach | 69” (175 cm) | 74” (188 cm) |
| Professional Record | 27-8 | 36-11 |
| UFC Debut | Feb 4, 2012, Submission loss vs Dustin Poirier | Aug 10, 2010, Submission win over Darren Elkins |
| Titles/Status | Current BMF Champ, #10 in UFC P4P | #3 Lightweight |
Key Factors to Watch
- Will there be a grappling battle? Since Holloway has an 83% takedown defence, it’s going to be a challenge for Oliveira to dictate his terms. However, if “Do Bronx” takes advantage of his 5” reach advantage and controls the tempo, we might see an upset.
- KO/TKO threat from Holloway – one of the most prolific strikers – Holloway will seek to punch through Oliveira’s 51% striking defence. He will have to absorb punishment. The question is – how long can the Brazilian sustain it? If “Blessed” is on his game, it might be game over way before the judges get involved.
So, it looks like a classic duel of grappler vs striker. Whoever has a better gameplan will likely prevail.
How to Watch UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 in the UK?
UK fans can watch UFC 326 live on TNT Sports Box Office. Check it out if you have the service available, or subscribe not to miss the action.
FAQ
What‘s the BMF Title That‘s on the Line?
This is an unofficial UFC championship, introduced a few years back. While it’s not tied to conquering a specific division, it highlights tough, aggressive and resilient fighters. Matchups for it are still very high-profile events.
How Much Will the Fighters Make from this Fight?
UFC doesn’t disclose exact purses. However, based on their status, both Oliveira and Holloway can expect a base payout of $500,000–$1,000,000+ before PPV points, sponsorship deals and performance bonuses.
How to Bet on UFC 326 with 7bet?
First, head to 7bet.co.uk, register for an account or log in. Then, deposit funds and navigate to the MMA or UFC section under Sports. From there, you will find all available markets for all the carded events. Add picks to your betslip, and confirm your bet. Always gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
Betting is only available to participants above 18 years. Please bet responsibly. BeGambleAware.org