Some fights need no introduction, and this is one of them. UFC 329 is going to have every MMA fan glued to their TV screen as Conor “The Notorious” McGregor makes his long-awaited return to the Octagon. Scheduled for Saturday, 11 July 2026 (local time) at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, it’s going to be McGregor versus Max Holloway. Since the Mac is back, Sin City is the only fitting stage for it!
McGregor is the former two-division champion and box-office stuffer, returning from the broken leg that ended his UFC 264 bout in July 2021. The Irishman faces former featherweight king Max “Blessed” Holloway. The pair first met back in August 2013, and McGregor won by Unanimous Decision. Over a decade on, the roles and reputations have shifted dramatically. For fans and bettors, we’ll share the tale of the tape and also overview the most popular betting markets for UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 bout!
UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2: Fight Details
- Date: Saturday, 11 July 2026 (UK time: early hours of Sunday, 12 July 2026).
- Time: Main event ring walks expected around 06:15 AM BST, Sunday morning.
- Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada, USA.
- Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs) — Holloway’s debut at the weight; 5 rounds.
- Streaming: TNT Sports PPV / UFC Fight Pass (UK).
- Betting is available at 7bet.
This is the tentpole event of International Fight Week, which boasts one of the strongest cards on the calendar, as per tradition. McGregor’s return alone is enough to make it one of the most anticipated fights of the decade, and since this is a rematch, there’s fuel to Holloway’s fire, too. No belts on the line, but bragging rights and legacies are.
UFC 329 – McGregor vs Holloway 2: Betting Odds
All betting markets listed below across the entire UFC 329 card, including McGregor vs Holloway 2 odds, are available at 7bet’s MMA betting page. To help customers gamble responsibly, we’d like to emphasise that odds can move pre-fight and are subject to change. The figures listed below are correct at the time of writing.
By default, odds on our platform are displayed in fractional format — but you can switch to decimal or American odds at any time.
Fight Winner
Also labelled as the Outright Winner market, it offers a simple bet — pick who wins, regardless of method or round. If you’re correct, you pocket the profit indicated by the odds.
| Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
| 11/7 | 4/9 |
For this bout, Max Holloway enters as a clear, but not a totally one-sided favourite with 4/9 odds, implying a ~69% win probability. That’s no surprise considering the multi-year hiatus that McGregor took away from the UFC. Still, as an underdog, the Mac gets 11/7 odds (roughly 39% implied), which means that you shouldn’t count him out.
Despite losing to Charles Oliveira and Ilia Topuria in two of his three most recent outings, Holloway has stayed relentlessly active and durable, whereas “The Notorious” hasn’t had his hand raised since 2020.
McGregor needs one clean shot to remind everyone why he became the biggest name the UFC has ever produced, but, according to experts, the “W” is more Holloway’s to take or give away in this one.
Round Total
This market asks the punters to predict whether McGregor vs Holloway 2 is going to go longer or end quicker than the specified threshold. As a 5-round main event, the Over/Under options run from 1.5 up to 3.5 on 7bet’s sportsbook, allowing for multiple choices.
Here’s how it works. If you pick ‘Over 2.5’, your bet wins if the 3rd round starts. However, if you bet ‘Under 2.5’, the winner must be determined before then. The mechanics remain the same for every other threshold.
| Market | Odds | Market | Odds |
| Over 1.5 | 1/2 | Under 1.5 | 10/7 |
| Over 2.5 | 21/20 | Under 2.5 | 9/13 |
| Over 3.5 | 9/5 | Under 3.5 | 5/13 |
With the ‘Round Total’ market, the shortest price from the listed lot is offered for ‘Over 1.5’ at 1/2. This speaks volumes to the fact that the books expect it to be a serious contest that should require at least 2 rounds to settle. That leans on two things:
- Holloway’s famously granite chin (he has never been knocked clean out)
- The fact that McGregor may not have the one-punch finishing prowess he demonstrated at featherweight
The 21/20 Over 2.5 line is where the book sees the coin flip on a deep-water fight. With many options available, do your own research before making a pick. Remember, these are just implied odds, and not guarantees.
Method of Victory
The Method of Victory market offers significantly higher odds than ‘Fight Winner’, but the inherent risk is higher, too. To win, bettors must correctly identify not just the winner, but how they’ll win. The options here cover KO/TKO or DQ, decision, and submission for both men, plus the draw
| Method | Odds |
| Conor McGregor by Decision or Technical Decision | 12/1 |
| Conor McGregor by KO / TKO or DQ | 11/5 |
| Conor McGregor by Submission | 30/1 |
| Draw | 80/1 |
| Max Holloway by Decision or Technical Decision | 17/3 |
| Max Holloway by KO / TKO or DQ | 13/15 |
| Max Holloway by Submission | 12/1 |
While seemingly every option has long or long-ish odds, there’s one standout – Max Holloway by KO / TKO or DQ with 13/15, the shortest on the board. It’s no surprise that this is the method of victory with the highest implied probability. Relentless striking and volume could overwhelm a ring-rusty McGregor over 5 rounds. The second shortest option on the board is Holloway by Decision (17/3).
For the Irishman, unsurprisingly, a KO/TKO or DQ victory stands as the option with the highest implied chance at 11/5.
Will the Fight Go the Distance?
A clear binary. Bettors decide whether the judges’ scorecards are needed to settle the bout after 5 rounds. Add ‘Yes’ if you think both gladiators will survive the 25-minute onslaught, or pick ‘No’ if you believe an early stoppage is in the books. Here’s how the odds stack up pre-fight.
| Yes | No |
| 7/2 | 1/6 |
The pricing is skewed for this market. ‘No’ is offered at short 1/6 odds, while ‘Yes’ gets a much lower implied probability with a 7/2 price. According to these numbers, the market expects a premature finish to settle McGregor vs Holloway 2.
That may look surprising given Holloway’s durability, but it factors in McGregor’s all-or-nothing style, the 5-year lay-off, and the sheer number of finishes both men have on their records. So pick at your own discretion, since this is only based on historical data, and can’t predict how the action shapes up in the octagon.
Winner & Exact Rounds
This market is usually preferred by more experienced UFC bettors with a preference for longer odds. The Winner & Exact Rounds market pays off when a punter correctly guesses the fight winner and the exact round in which the bout ends. The specificity means much higher prices and much slimmer margins for error. Here’s how the odds stack up at 7bet.
| Conor McGregor | Round | Max Holloway |
| 16/3 | Round 1 | 5/1 |
| 9/1 | Round 2 | 11/2 |
| 17/1 | Round 3 | 13/2 |
| 30/1 | Round 4 | 8/1 |
| 35/1 | Round 5 | 11/1 |
| 12/1 | Points (Decision) | 17/3 |
The shortest option for both fighters is a victory in Round 1 (16/3 for McGregor and 5/1 for Holloway). This is somewhat contradictory to what ‘Round Total’ markets would imply, but the CVs of both athletes point to the fact that they like to and definitely have what it takes to end things quickly.
For ‘Notorious’, the prices dramatically lengthen for future rounds, reaching up to 35/1 for a 5th-round finish. For Holloway, it’s a steadier climb, with odds getting longer for every round past the 1st, but not displaying such a dramatic progression.
It’s also interesting that, according to the books, Holloway is almost twice as likely to win by points as McGregor (17/3 vs 12/1, respectively).
Winning Method (Double Chance)
Overall, the Winning Method (Double Chance) market might be a safer selection than the Method of Victory. Here, bettors back a fighter to win by one of two different methods (e.g. KO or Points). This improves your chance of landing the bet in exchange for shorter odds than the single-method market.
For example, if you pick ‘Max Holloway by KO or Points’ at 6/11, and Max wins by SD or UD, the bet is successful. If he wins by decision, submission or loses outright, the bet is settled as a loss.
| Selection | Odds |
| Conor McGregor — KO or Points | 9/5 |
| Conor McGregor — KO or Submission | 21/10 |
| Conor McGregor — Submission or Points | 17/2 |
| Max Holloway — KO or Points | 6/11 |
| Max Holloway — KO or Submission | 5/7 |
| Max Holloway — Submission or Points | 15/4 |
| Draw | 80/1 |
From the list of markets – Holloway — KO or Points at 6/11 is the shortest selection here. Thus, the market sees Max breaking down McGregor early or coming out on top if the bout takes the whole 25 minutes. On McGregor’s side, ‘KO or Points’ at 9/5 covers his most realistic paths to victory. The submission options are longer for both, as they’re both strikers and haven’t had that much proficiency on the mat throughout their careers.
Conor McGregor – ‘The Notorious’ (22-6, 19 KOs)
Even though he has 6 losses, there hasn’t been a bigger star in the UFC than Conor McGregor. The Irishman became the first fighter ever to have two division belts simultaneously and headed the biggest PPV events during his reign. After peaking, he decided to take up a boxing match against Floyd Mayweather, which he lost and has been on an uninspiring run, topped off with a multi-year break.
The sporting reality is sobering for his fans. McGregor is 1-3 since October 2018, with his last victory coming against Donald Cerrone in January 2020. With durability, cardio and preparedness all in question before UFC 329, there are more questions than answers for ‘Notorious’. He is also moving up to welterweight, a more physical division than featherweights and lightweights, where McGregor made his name.
And yet, write him off at your own peril. His left hand is still one of the most devastating weapons in martial arts. Striking exchanges should remain elite, and practically no one can rise to a marquee moment like him. One clean shot, and the whole underdog or rusty narrative can flip in an instant.
Conor McGregor – Last 5 Fights
| Opponent | Date | Result |
| Dustin Poirier | 10 Jul 2021 | Loss (TKO, R1 – leg injury) |
| Dustin Poirier | 23 Jan 2021 | Loss (TKO, R2) |
| Donald Cerrone | 18 Jan 2020 | Win (TKO, R1) |
| Khabib Nurmagomedov | 6 Oct 2018 | Loss (Submission, R4) |
| Eddie Alvarez | 12 Nov 2016 | Win (TKO, R2) |
Max Holloway – ‘Blessed’ (27-9, 12 KOs)
If McGregor is the showman, Max Holloway is the craftsman. The Hawaiian-born UFC star is a former UFC Featherweight champ and the previous BMF title holder. Fans and experts love him for the fine, pure boxing he displays on almost every occasion. Holloway’s striking, footwork and legendary chin have made him a tough nut for every opponent that the American has ever faced. To top things off, his cardio is second to none.
Crucially, Holloway has been busy while McGregor was away. He fought 8 times since Mac’s last outing and went 5-3 in that stretch. However, the losses came against the likes of Alexander Volkanovski, Ilia Topuria and Charles Oliveira – all champions. His wins in that span include statement performances over Justin Gaethje (a spectacular last-second KO to claim the BMF title), Dustin Poirier, the Korean Zombie and Arnold Allen. Think what you want, but Holloway is still one of UFC’s top dogs.
The genuine question mark surrounding him is the debut at welterweight. It’s new territory for both fighters, but carrying the extra weight for an active athlete may prove to be a tricky thing to adapt to. However, Holloway likely hopes to drag McGregor into deep waters and let the cardio gap show.
Max Holloway – Last 5 Fights
| Opponent | Date | Result |
| Charles Oliveira | 7 Mar 2026 | Loss (UD) – BMF Title |
| Dustin Poirier | 19 Jul 2025 | Win (UD) – BMF Title Defence |
| Ilia Topuria | 26 Oct 2024 | Loss (KO, R3) – UFC Featherweight Championship Bout |
| Justin Gaethje | 13 Apr 2024 | Win (KO, R5) – BMF Title |
| The Korean Zombie (Jung Chan-sung) | 26 Aug 2023 | Win (TKO, R3) |
Tale of the Tape
| Conor McGregor | Max Holloway | |
| 37 (born 14 Jul 1988) | Age on Fight Night | 34 (born 4 Dec 1991) |
| The Notorious | Nickname | Blessed |
| 5’8” / 173 cm | Height | 5‐11” / 180 cm |
| 74” / 188 cm | Reach | 69” / 175 cm |
| Southpaw | Stance | Orthodox |
| 22-6 (19 KOs) | Professional Record | 27-9 (12 KOs) |
| Dublin, Ireland | Fights out of | Waianae, Hawaii, USA |
| 2010 | MMA Debut | 2010 |
Key Factors to Watch in McGregor vs Holloway 2
Let’s get to know what the experts think before this fight. Here are the three key points all UFC insiders are focusing on before UFC 329 and McGregor vs Holloway 2:
- How Much Ring Rust Will McGregor Have? This is the whole fight in one line. McGregor hasn’t had a professional UFC bout in nearly 5 years and is coming off a horrific leg injury. Holloway has been active and solid during that time. Timing, reactions and cardio don’t come overnight or stay with you forever, so it’s no surprise that Blessed leads the implied probabilities on the books.
- Can McGregor Land Significant Strikes Early? Mac’s best, and to some experts, only shot at victory is landing damage early. If he pulls through one or two clean left-hands before fatigue sets in, the Irishman could come out victorious. However, drag it past that and the maths shift sharply towards the former BMF title holder.
- The Weight Jump. Neither athlete has competed at 170 lbs, and that seems to be the great equaliser here. Whether that extra McGregor size and power can trouble a chin that has never been cleanly knocked out is one of the most intriguing subplots of the night.
How to Watch UFC 329 in the UK?
UK viewers can catch the McGregor vs Holloway 2 and the whole UFC 329 card live on TNT Sports via PPV. The main card is set to begin late night or early morning UK time on Sunday, 12 July. Ring walks for McGregor vs Holloway are expected around 06:15 AM BST.
In addition to PPV on TNT Sports, the event will also be available on UFC Fight Pass for subscribers.
FAQ
How to Bet on UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2?
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How did the First Fight Between McGregor and Holloway End?
The pair first met in August 2013, early in both their UFC careers, when Conor McGregor won by unanimous decision at featherweight. This is a long-awaited rematch at welterweight.
How Much Will Both Fighters Earn From the Fight?
While the UFC doesn’t disclose official purses, it’s expected that McGregor could pocket over $15 million for his return. Holloway should rake in seven figures, with both athletes also eligible for PPV bonuses.
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