Chelsea vs Benfica Betting Odds: UEFA Champions League

Chelsea made big moves in the summer transfer window. Almost their entire squad that helped them win the Club World Cup and the Europa Conference League earlier this year has been transferred or loaned out. A whopping 18 players (including reserves) have left the club. 

Big names who have left the Blues are strikers Nicolas Jackson (loan), Noni Madueke (transfer), C. Nkunku (transfer), and Datro Fofana (loan). Jackson was the second-highest goal scorer for the team with 10 goals in the Premier League. Midfielders Ben Chilwell and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall have also transferred out.

Fresh new faces in the team include strikers João Pedro from Brighton, Estevão from Palmeiras, and Liam Delap, who scored 12 goals for Ipswich last season.

Benfica won the Taça de Liga and the Portuguese Super Cup earlier this year. They are currently third in the Liga Portugal standings. They’ve also made major changes to their squad in the summer window. Top strikers K. Aktürkoğlu, Á. Di María, Zeki Amdouni, and Orkun Kökçü have left. Benfica has strengthened its attack by bringing in F. Ivanovič from Union Saint-Gilloise. Ivanovič has already scored two goals in six Liga Portugal matches.

Both teams have played four matches against each other – twice in the Champions League, once in the Europa League, and once in the Club World Cup earlier this year. Chelsea won all four head-to-head fixtures.

They now face each other on Sunday. If you are interested in betting on this fixture, we give you the Chelsea vs Benfica betting odds and common markets below.

• Date: Tuesday, 30 September 2025
• Kick-off: 20:00 BST
• Location: Stamford Bridge, London

UEFA Champions League Betting Odds: Chelsea vs Benfica

7bet offers competitive Chelsea vs Benfica betting odds.

Please note that the odds mentioned below are accurate as of the publishing time of the article.

1X2 Odds

The 1X2 market is the most well-known type of betting, where punters can pick one of three possible outcomes in the match:

• 1: Home team (Chelsea) wins
• X: Draw
• 2: Away team (Benfica) wins

To place your bets in the 1X2 market, you must consider the odds and see which outcome brings the most value. UK sportsbooks use fractional odds, where the denominator represents the bet amount, and the numerator is the expected return. If your chosen outcome is successful, your bet pays out based on the odds provided by the bookmaker. The stake (betting amount) is also returned on successful bets. So, a successful bet on Chelsea with 6/11 odds will pay out £6 for every £11. Similarly, a successful bet on Benfica at 9/2 odds pays £9 for every £2, and correctly predicting a draw pays £3 for every pound.

So, how to decide which bet is more valuable? First, look whether a bet has “long” or “short” odds. If it yields high returns, the odds are considered long. On the other hand, if a bet yields low returns, it has short odds. However, don’t make the mistake of blindly going for bets that pay the highest. When the odds are short, the outcome is considered more likely, and for long odds, the outcome is considered less likely. You should also note that a team with long odds can still win the match. Keep all these factors in mind when considering the Chelsea vs Benfica betting odds.

Always do additional research like looking at both teams’ head-to-head history, recent form, injuries, and lineup to decide which bet will bring more value in the 1X2 market. It is also important to manage your bankroll by betting only small amounts each time.

Double Chance

Instead of betting on a single result, the double chance market allows bettors to pick two options in a single combined wager:

• 1X: Home team (Chelsea) wins or the match draws. This bet loses if Benfica wins.
• X2: Draw or Away team (Benfica) wins. This bet loses if Chelsea wins.
• 12: Either team wins (ruling out a draw). This bet loses if the match draws.

Choose the double chance market if you are uncertain about the outcome of Tuesday’s match.

Bettors should note that since the double chance bet covers two possible outcomes out of three, it is accompanied by shorter betting odds. This means backing Chelsea or Benfica in the Double Chance market will pay lower compared to the 1X2 market.

Check both teams’ win-loss-draw record in the last 10 matches before considering this market. Chelsea has 7 wins, 1 loss, and 2 draws in their last 10 matches, whereas Benfica has 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the same period. In their four head-to-head matches, Chelsea won all fixtures.

Draw No Bet

Draw No Bet is ideal for cautious punters. Here, you can only back the Home or Away team to win. If the match ends in a draw, your stake is returned. DNB removes the risk of losing your wager upon a draw.

Choose the DNB bet over 1X2 if you aren’t fully confident if your chosen team will win outright. DNB acts as a small insurance for your stake.

To decide between 1X2 and DNB, consider how many times both teams were held to a draw. Chelsea drew two of their last 10 games, while Benfica had three draws in the same period. In their head-to-head record, none of their matches ended in a draw. Apply these statistics in your research when considering the Chelsea vs Benfica betting odds in the Draw No Bet market.

Backing Chelsea in the DNB market pays £1 profit on a £5 bet (£0.2 for every pound) if they win. Choosing Benfica at 16/5 odds will give you £3.2 return for every pound.

Handicap Betting Odds

Handicap betting can be applied in different scenarios. It’s most useful when one team is clearly stronger than the other. Bookmakers give an advantage or a positive handicap to the weaker team to even the playing field. This means a fixed amount of points (chosen by the bettor) is added to the weaker team’s total, and the same amount of points is subtracted from the stronger team’s total. So, a (-/+) 1.5 handicap applied to a 2–0 score will change the final score to 0.5–1.5. This means bets on the losing team win.

Handicap can also be applied to receive large returns on your favourite team. Let’s say you are confident of Chelsea’s win. Backing them in the 1X2 market gives £0.54 for every pound with 6/11. However, there is more value in backing them to overcome a deficit. If you bet on the Blues with a -1 handicap, you stand to gain £0.9 per pound.

Be cautious when selecting the handicap, as you need to keep the goal margin in mind. Handicaps like 0.5 are small and can be overcome with a 2-goal margin. If you want to play safe, choose a bigger handicap like 1.75, where the other team will have to overcome a four-goal margin.

All available handicaps for this fixture on 7bet range between (+/-) 0 to (-/+) 3.5. The default handicap is set at -1 for Chelsea. Bettors are free to adjust the handicaps as per their analysis.

Here are two examples of how your bet will pay out with different handicaps:

• Chelsea (-1.75) / Benfica (+1.75): Benfica has a big advantage of four goals over Chelsea. A two-goal difference, such as 2–0, is adjusted to 0.25–1.75, and bets on Benfica win. Benfica wins again on a three-goal loss, like 3–0 (1.25–1.75). However, Chelsea will be able to overcome the handicap with a four-goal win like 4–0 (2.25–1.75).
• Chelsea (+0) / Benfica (-0): A zero handicap is used in highly competitive games where neither team gets an advantage or a disadvantage. It works like the Draw No Bet market. There’s no advantage to either side, but your stake is protected in case of a draw (called a push). Let’s say you are convinced that Chelsea will win the match, but are a bit worried about a draw. You can take a +0 handicap bet on Chelsea. If Chelsea wins, your bet wins; if the score ties, it’s a push; if Benfica wins, your bet loses.

Consider the goal difference of both teams in their recent matches. In their last four head-to-head matches, three matches had a goal difference of only one, and one match had a goal difference of three.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS Odds)

The BTTS market pays based on whether both teams score or not in the full 90 minutes of the match. The “Yes” bets pay if both Chelsea and Benfica score at least one goal. The final score doesn’t matter. As long as the score is at least 1–1, BTTS “Yes” bets win. On the other hand, BTTS “No” bets win if one or both teams fail to score. The final score should have a zero in it for the “No” bets to win.

Consider how many times both teams conceded zero goals (also called a clean sheet) when deciding whether to pick “Yes” or “No”. The higher the clean sheets, the more chances that “No” bets may win. Moreover, it’s also important to consider how many times they failed to score any goals. If there are several zeroes in their recent results, choosing a “No” bet may be better.

Chelsea kept three clean sheets in their last 10 matches, and Benfica kept six. Moreover, Chelsea didn’t score any goals in two of their recent 10 fixtures, while Benfica couldn’t score in one match. In their four head-to-head matches, both teams scored against each other in three games, while one had a clean sheet. Use this data to minimize your risk.

Goal Total (Over/Under) Odds

In this market, bettors have to predict whether the combined goal total will be over or under their chosen number. If you chose an Over 2.5 bet, the combined goal total should be at least three goals or higher for your bet to pay out. This bet wins if the final score looks like 2–1, 3–0, 3–1, 3–2, etc. On the other hand, under 2.5 bets pay if the combined goal total is two or lower. 

Lower your risk in this market by considering the average goal total of both teams in their recent matches.

Chelsea averaged 1.9 goals in their last 10 matches. Benfica has averaged 1.6 goals in the same period. This brings their combined average goal total to 3.5. Moreover, in their last five head-to-head matches, both teams’ combined average goal total was 3.0 (a total of 12 goals in four matches). Use this data when considering the Chelsea vs Benfica betting odds in the Over/Under market.

Correct Score Odds

Predicting the correct score can yield big returns with this bet. For example, predicting a precise 1/0 win for Chelsea pays £15 for every £2, and predicting a correct 0/1 win for Benfica pays £17 for every pound. These are just a few examples of possible scores. You can adjust the betting line between 0 and +5 goals for both teams on our page as per your analysis.

Note that since this market has long odds, the probability of an outcome is less likely. Predicting a precise score can be difficult, so be careful when placing your bets in this market. Reduce your risk by reviewing their past scoring history, form, and injury record.

Where to Watch UEFA Champions League Matches in the UK

Fans in the UK can watch UEFA Champions League matches on TNT Sports and Amazon Prime. The BBC will showcase highlights of all the matches.

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