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Dominate the Field Off the Grass | Tennis Betting Strategies for the Win

Gear up fellas, Wimbledon 2024 began last week and we are in for two weeks of epic grass court battles. As the top contenders are making strategies to dominate the court, why don’t you take some time to build strategies off the court?

Every year, the bet amount on tennis goes up by one notch. Unlike earlier betting methods, online betting platforms have allowed new punters to bet on the game while still in play. 

Follow these tennis betting strategies to maximise your chance of winning.

Tennis Betting is More Skill than Chance

Staking your money on tennis games means you also need to understand the game and its dynamics. The turf on which Wimbledon games are played is in itself a big challenge for the players. Where clay surfaces are slower, the ball bounces at a higher speed on the grass court. 

Let’s see how this changes things;

  • Need Faster Performance: Grass court will render the ball speed to go at trailblazing speeds, which means shorter rallies. As a result, players will have less time to react to the shots. So, you will need to bet on players who are spot-on with their power and precision. 

Plus, with a quicker surface, players who have an aggressive serve have better chances of winning as these serves may be difficult to return. 

  • Lower Ball Bounce: Another aspect that will change the game and with it, the tennis betting strategy is how the ball on the grass court skids lower off the grass. Such a phenomenon is not seen on clay courts, but here the players have to adjust their groundstrokes. 

So when betting, notice the players struggling with picking low balls as they cannot generate effective power and control the ball. Players who can hit slice shots and generate backspin can dominate the game.

Person preparing to serve a ball

How the Ball Moves on Clay Courts

Expect the ball to bounce high but slow on clay courts. This means clay court matches usually move at a slower pace, giving players more time to react to each shot. On the downside though, the clay surface is soft and is prone to becoming bumpy and uneven. A poorly maintained clay court will give erratic ball bounces. The ball may fly off in different, unpredictable directions. 

When betting on clay courts, look for consistent baseliners with heavy topspin on their groundstrokes. Rafael Nadal is the most successful player on clay. Currently, Novak Djokovic also dominates clay courts.

How the Grass Court will Impact the Top 3 Seed Men’s Players?

  1. Jannik Sinner (Odds: +185)

This player is known for his big serves and powerful hand, which is instrumental on a grass court. Famous for one-handed backhand, Jannik Sinner is a good mover, which means he can cover the court effectively. 

However, if you see Sinner struggling on the court that may be because he’s not as consistent in the game as he expected to be. So, place the bets in this situation carefully. 

  1. Carlos Alcaraz (Odds: +240)

Another player with a powerful serve, Carlos follows an aggressive baseline hitting strategy in the game. Plus, he has a good movement capability, which is an asset on the grass court. As fast as the grass surface is, matching Carlos’ powerful serve will be challenging for the players. 

  1. Novak Djokovic (Odds: +35)

Considered the GOAT of grass courts, Djokovic has a powerful serve, impressive return skills, and much more. Packaged with all the required skills, experience, and intellect to dominate the court, Djokovic has the potential to dominate the game with baseline consistency. 

How the Grass Court Will Impact the Top 3 Seed Women Players?

  1. Iga Swiatek (Odds: +400)

Swiatek boasts impressive athleticism and she has powerful groundstrokes, which means she also has a dominant baseline. She is expected to perform well, so watch out for her performance throughout the campaign. Although, she has yet to reach a Wimbledon final. Her past performance suggests that her heavy reliance on topspin has proven less effective on this surface.

  1. Coco Gauff (Odds: +650)

Another player with an aggressive serve, Gauff has a strong forehand and great movement. With these skills, she can overpower her opponent, and knowing this, you can curate your tennis betting strategy accordingly. However, watch out for her struggle with consistency. It won’t be a bad decision to change your bets if you see Gauff is not performing consistently. 

  1. Elena Rybakina (Odds: +550)

Elena plays with a power-packed skillset boasting a precise forehand. She has a powerful serve, which is difficult to respond to. She was the finalist in the 2022 Wimbledon and excels on grass, making her a top contender for the win. 

Person serving a tennis ball

The Top 4 Tennis Betting Strategies for Wimbledon 2024

New punters need to adopt a tennis betting strategy if they want to maximise their wins. However, align these strategies with the player performances and the dynamics of the campaign. 

  1. Head-to-Head Statistics: Always check the player’s head-to-head records and try to find patterns. For all the games played between them, check the wins on either side, but also check the surface on which they played, and the weather conditions on the day of the match comparing them with the player’s individual styles. Identify the upper hand one player has over the other to predict a match winner.
  2. The Grand Slam Strategy: Players have a habit of channeling all of their energy into the Grand Slams, even though their performance in other matches may not be as good. Some players also opt out of many tournaments, just to prepare for the Grand Slams. 

Men’s Grand Slam match wins are somewhat predictable as they focus on consistent performances and minimising their mistakes. So, if you see the odds are in favour of the top seed players, it’s because they are indeed on the winning side. 

  1. Handicap Betting: This tennis betting strategy sets the odds on the winning margin. So, you are not just betting on the player, but on the match as well. Bookmakers set the handicaps. For example, if the bookmaker gives a player +0.5 handicap, this means he has 0.5 more chance of winning. The handicap lines are created to even the playing field when there is one clearly stronger player. The handicap closes the gap and makes the sports betting more competitive.
  2. Bet on Aces on the Court: A unique tennis betting strategy where bettors track aces hit in each game, whether it’s ATP, WTA, etc. Tracking the aces in the game means you can predict the next ace and bet on them accordingly. 

Top Tennis Matches of Bet On

Certain tournaments are more prestigious than others, giving more betting opportunities. Follow these top tennis tournaments to bet on:

  1. Wimbledon: It is one of the four Grand Slam tournaments and is held annually in London. Tennis greats like Roger Federer and Serena Williams have dominated Wimbledon’s grass courts.
  2. US Open: The US Open is also a Grand Slam tennis tournament. It’s held annually in New York City and features hard courts. 
  3. French Open: Also known as Roland Garros, this is an annual tournament organised in Paris. This Grand Slam tournament is played on clay courts.
  4. Australian Open: This is the youngest of the four major tournaments. It’s traditionally organised every January in Melbourne. 
  5. ATP Finals: This tournament brings top-ranked singles and doubles players on the ATP Tour. 
  6. WTA Finals: The WTA Finals brings together the top eight singles and doubles players.

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