England vs Italy Betting Odds | UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 Semifinals

England is set to meet Italy in the UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 semifinals on Tuesday, 22nd July. 

The Lionesses, as Team England is known, are chasing back-to-back Euro titles. They won the tournament in 2022 and made it to the semifinals in 2017. They’ve also had strong finishes at the FIFA Women’s World Cup. They finished second in 2023 after narrowly losing to Spain in the final round. Before this, they were 3rd in 2015 and 4th in 2019.

Under manager Sarina Wiegman, England have become a dominant force in women’s football. Their recent form is solid as they defeated Sweden in a dramatic penalty shootout to reach the semis. 

Italy, on the other hand, is having a breakthrough year. This is their first Euro semifinal since 1997. They beat Norway 2–1 in the quarterfinals, with striker Cristiana Girelli scoring both goals. 

Italy’s women’s team hasn’t had many deep runs in recent years. But that’s changing. Domestically, Italian women’s football clubs have made big strides. Juventus Women won the Serie A title and Coppa Italia this season. Juventus striker Cristiana Girelli is part of the national team and leads Italy’s scorecard with three goals. She scored an impressive 19 goals for Juventus Women in the Serie A this year.

Italy finished second in Group B with one win, one loss, and one draw. They scored five goals in four matches, averaging 1.25 goals. England finished second in Group D with two wins and a loss. The Lionesses scored 13 goals in four matches, averaging 3.25 goals per match. Both teams kept one clean sheet each.

Both teams are strong, and Tuesday’s match promises plenty of action. The game kicks off at 8:00 pm BST at the Stade de Genève in Geneva, Switzerland.

Below, we give you the England vs Italy betting odds, Women’s Euro 2025 betting markets, and key lines to watch.

England vs Italy Women: Betting Odds

England made a dramatic turnaround in the quarterfinal match against Sweden. They were trailing 0–2 in the first half. Wiegman reacted and brought on strikers Chloe Kelly, Michelle Agyemang, and Beth Mead around the 70th minute. The change worked fast as Kelly’s cross helped striker Lucy Bronze hit England’s first goal in the 79th minute. Agyemang equalised two minutes later, making it 2–2. 

The match went to penalties, and both sides ended up missing a total of nine penalties (a record for the Women’s Euro). England finally edged Sweden 3–2 as Lucy Bronze scored the decisive kick.

Meanwhile, Italy cruised into the semis with a 2–1 victory over Norway.

The two teams have faced each other twice in the last five years. Their first meeting was at the Arnold Clark Cup group stage match in 2023. England won the fixture 2–1. Their latest match was a friendly in February 2024, which England won 5–1.

From a betting perspective, England has a slight edge. They’ve had decisive wins in their Euro matches and have a more experienced squad. However, Italy is on good momentum, and their star striker, Girelli, is a strong finisher. 

Since this is the semifinal, both teams will bring their best to the game. So, fans can expect tight odds, especially for the match winner market.

If you are interested in betting on this fixture, 7bet offers competitive England vs Italy women’s betting odds across various markets.

Please note, all the odds mentioned below are accurate as per the publishing time of the article. Visit 7bet’s Women’s Euro 2025 betting page for the latest odds.

1X2 Odds

The 1X2 market is one of the most common football betting formats. It gives three possible outcomes:

• 1: England wins
• X: Draw
• 2: Italy wins

These odds (accurate to the time of publishing the article) reflect how bookmakers rate each team’s chances. 

In the fractional odds, the denominator indicates the bet amount, and the numerator tells how much you can expect to win. England women’s odds are 12/25, which means you stand to win £12 for every £25, along with your stake (betting amount) back. Similarly, bettors can gain £5 for every pound wagered on Italy’s win and £7 for every £2 for correctly predicting a draw.

Upon simplifying the fractions, for every pound, you receive £0.48 on England’s win, £5 on Italy’s win, and £3.5 on a draw.

The odds indicate the probability of an outcome. Short odds, where the numerator value is lower than the denominator, mean there is a high probability of that outcome. In this case, England has short odds as their bet return is the lowest. This means they may have a slight edge over Italy.

On the other hand, Italy has long odds, where the numerator value is higher than the denominator. This means the probability of this outcome appears to be slightly low. When this is the case, bookmakers give long odds to encourage bettors to bet on both teams.

Remember, England vs Italy Betting Odds simply mirror market sentiment—they don’t guarantee results and can shift quickly.

Both teams are strong, so be careful when selecting your choice in the 1X2 market. Consider both teams’ current form, injury news, and head-to-head history.

Double Chance

Choose this market if you are a cautious bettor. This is a safe bet compared to the 1X2, where you have to pick an outright match winner. In this market, however, bettors can select two out of the three possible outcomes: 

• England or Draw: This bet loses if Italy wins.
• England or Italy: You lose if the game ends in a draw.
• Draw or Italy: This bet loses if England wins.

Since the Double Chance market gives you two out of three chances to win, the payout is lower than the 1X2 market. Your probability of winning is high here, so bookmakers lower the odds to even out.

Consider the Double Chance if you believe both teams are equally skilled and predicting a match winner may be difficult. Look at their last 10 or 20 results to check their win-loss-draw ratio.

The statistics will guide you on how to minimise risk. If you believe that draw is the least likely outcome, choose the England or Italy option in this market. Make sure to check the injury report before betting on Double Chance.

Draw No Bet

The Draw no Bet is another variation of 1X2, where the option of the draw is removed. If the England vs Italy semifinal match ends in a draw (before going into the penalty shootout), your stake will be refunded. The score at full time should be a tie like 0–0, 1–1, 2–2, or 3–3.

Backing England in the Draw No Bet market means you’ll get £1 profit on a £6 (£0.16 for every pound) stake if they win. Your stake will be refunded if the game ends in a draw. Choosing Italy at 7/2 odds will give you a return of  £3.5 on a £1 stake.

Handicap Betting Odds

Handicap is used to level the playing field when one team is stronger than the other. The bookmaker gives a head start to the weaker team by giving them an advantage called a “handicap”.

A positive handicap means a fixed number (chosen by the bettor) will be added to the weaker team’s final goal score. Similarly, the same number will be deducted from the stronger team, giving them a disadvantage or a negative handicap. Your bet wins or loses depending on the adjusted final score.

In this fixture, all available handicaps on 7bet are negative for England and positive for Italy. This means England will have to overcome the handicap by at least a two-goal difference. 

Here, we explain what the final result will look like after adding the handicaps in the England vs Italy match:

• England (-1.25) / Italy (+1.25): This selection gives a 3-goal advantage to Italy. A -1.25 handicap means England must win with at least a +3 goal difference to overcome the gap. For example, England wins 3–1. After adjusting the handicap, the final score will be calculated as 1.75–2.25, meaning bets on Italy win. However, if the match ends with a three-goal difference, like a 4–1 win for England, the final score becomes 2.75–2.25, giving a win to bets on England.
• England (-0.75) / Italy (+0.75): England needs to win by at least two goals in this handicap. For example, a 2–1 win for England will be calculated as 1.25–1.75, leading to a win for bets on Italy. However, if England wins 3–1, the adjusted score becomes 2.25–1.75, giving a win to bets on England.

Choose higher handicaps like -1.75, -2, and -2.25 for England, if you believe the Lionesses will have a decisive win over Italy. However, if you want to play safe, choose lower handicaps like -0.25 or -0.5.

This market offers value if you can predict how close or wide the scoreline might be and not just who will win.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS Odds)

The Both Teams to Score (BTTS) is a straightforward betting market, especially suited to new bettors. In this market, you don’t have to predict who will win. Instead, you bet on whether both teams will score at least once during the match.

If you choose “Yes,” your bet wins if the final score is anything like 1–1, 2–1, 3–2, etc. As long as both England and Italy score, it doesn’t matter who wins or what the total score is. 

On the other hand, the “No” bet wins if either team fails to score. For example, 0–0, 2–0, or 1–0 would all result in a win for “No.”

Make sure to check how many times both teams kept a clean sheet in their last 10 or 20 matches. A clean sheet means that the opposite team was not able to score even once during the match. The data will guide you on how likely the BTTS outcome will be.

Goal Total (Over/Under) Odds

Predict the goal total (also known as Over/Under or O/U) in this market. Bettors can adjust the betting line as per their understanding. 

At 7bet, the betting line on this fixture extends from a goal total of 1 to 5.75. In the above example, you can choose whether both teams will score over or under 2.5 goals combined. If you choose “Over”, your bet wins if the final score looks something like 2–1, 2–2, 3–1, 3–0 etc. However, if the score is less than 2.5, like 2–0, 1–0, or 1–1, the “Under” bets win.

Adjust the O/U line based on your research. If you believe we’ll see a high-scoring match on Tuesday, choose an Over 3.5 bet. Or, you can select Under 1.25, if you think both teams will defend their goal tightly.

Correct Score Odds

Bettors have to predict the exact score in this market. It is high risk because you not only need to get the match winner correct, but also predict the precise score as the final whistle blows. Consider this market only if you have been following both teams closely.

Where to Watch UEFA Women’s Euro 2025 Live in the UK

The semifinal match will be broadcast live for free on BBC Sport and ITV. Highlights and clips are shown on the BBC Sport website, app, and social media platforms.

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