{"id":22009,"date":"2026-05-29T16:11:53","date_gmt":"2026-05-29T13:11:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/?p=22009"},"modified":"2026-05-29T16:11:53","modified_gmt":"2026-05-29T13:11:53","slug":"epsom-derby-five-horses-to-follow","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/epsom-derby-five-horses-to-follow\/","title":{"rendered":"Epsom Derby 2026: Five Horses to Follow"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The trends are clear: you want a lightly raced three-year-old with no more than five career starts, a Dante Stakes or Chester Vase win behind him, a trainer who knows the unique demands of Epsom&#8217;s undulations and cambers, and the pedigree to get a mile and a half. For fans following the biggest <a href=\"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/horse-racing\/fixtures\/\">horse racing fixtures<\/a> of the season, these are the five horses from this year&#8217;s Derby field whose profiles tick the most boxes.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><b>The Five Horses<\/b><\/h2>\n<h3><b>1. Benvenuto Cellini &#8211; The Chester Vase Winner<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Trainer:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Aidan O&#8217;Brien<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">3\/1 (Betfred ante-post)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best piece of form:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Won the Group 3 Chester Vase by four and a quarter lengths in a dominant display on his seasonal reappearance, ridden by Ryan Moore; O&#8217;Brien used the same race last year as the stepping stone for Derby winner Lambourn, and Benvenuto Cellini produced a performance of similar authority.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Trend fit:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A son of Frankel, lightly raced and with a pedigree built for a mile and a half; O&#8217;Brien chasing a record-extending 12th Derby win and a fourth straight success; the Chester Vase has a strong record of pointing to the Derby, with Lambourn being only the most recent winner to follow that path to Epsom glory.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Betting appeal:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At 3\/1 the market has him as the clear standard-setter on form; a win bet is the straightforward play if Ryan Moore confirms the ride, and O&#8217;Brien&#8217;s record of four consecutive Derby wins makes it very hard to oppose his number one at any price.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><b>2. Item &#8211; The Dante Winner<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Trainer:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Andrew Balding<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">4\/1 (Betfred ante-post)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best piece of form:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Won the Group 2 Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Dante Stakes at York on 14 May 2026 by two and three-quarter lengths from Aidan O&#8217;Brien&#8217;s Action, with O&#8217;Brien&#8217;s Christmas Day a further length and three-quarters back in third; ridden by Colin Keane for the Juddmonte operation, the win was his third from three starts and came on his first run in a Group race.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Trend fit:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Unbeaten in three starts, the son of Frankel is exactly the lightly raced profile that the historical trends reward; 21 of the last 23 Derby winners had no more than five career starts; Andrew Balding&#8217;s father Ian won the Derby with Mill Reef in 1971 and Andrew has been chasing the race for his entire training career, describing it as his dream.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Betting appeal:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At 4\/1 Item represents the best value in the market; he beat two O&#8217;Brien horses at York in the most important Derby trial of the season, he is unbeaten, and he is trained by a handler who is desperate to win the race; an each-way bet at 4\/1 is the most compelling option in the field.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/betting\/horse-racing\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-13634 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/CrossSell_HorseRacingTracks.jpg\" alt=\"Banner for Horse Racing betting\" width=\"900\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/CrossSell_HorseRacingTracks.jpg 900w, https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/CrossSell_HorseRacingTracks-300x83.jpg 300w, https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/CrossSell_HorseRacingTracks-768x213.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 900px) 100vw, 900px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><b>3. Constitution River &#8211; The Dee Stakes Winner<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Trainer:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Aidan O&#8217;Brien<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">7\/2 (Betfred ante-post)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best piece of form:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Won the Listed Dee Stakes at Chester&#8217;s May Festival in impressive fashion; a son of Wootton Bassett, he caused a surge of support in the Derby market that briefly made him favourite before O&#8217;Brien indicated his preference may be the Prix du Jockey Club at Chantilly; Benvenuto Cellini was subsequently restored as Derby favourite.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Trend fit:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If he runs at Epsom rather than Chantilly, Constitution River adds a second strong trial winner to the O&#8217;Brien team; a Group 2 winner as a two-year-old in the Irish EBF Futurity Stakes, he has the profile and pedigree to handle a mile and a half; the uncertainty over his Epsom participation is the key risk factor.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Betting appeal:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At 7\/2 he is an attractive each-way option if confirmed for Epsom; the key caveat is that O&#8217;Brien has suggested the Prix du Jockey Club may be his target instead, so check the declarations at 10am on Wednesday 3 June before placing any bet; if he does run at Epsom, he has the class and form to be a serious contender.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><b>4. Maltese Cross &#8211; The Haggas Contender<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Trainer:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">William Haggas<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">8\/1 (Betfred ante-post)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best piece of form:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">William Haggas&#8217;s representative in the Derby market at 8\/1; Haggas has a strong record with Classic-generation colts and his runners at this level tend to arrive well-prepared; update this section with his specific prep race form once declarations are confirmed.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Trend fit:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Haggas has produced Derby contenders before and his yards typically prepare horses meticulously for the undulations and specific demands of Epsom; at 8\/1 he sits in a price range that has historically been productive for the race, with the market occasionally underestimating the Newmarket trainers relative to Ballydoyle.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Betting appeal:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A speculative each-way punt at 8\/1 may represent value depending on his prep race form and fitness coming into Epsom; check the latest market moves in the week of the race before placing, as Haggas horses often attract strong support close to the off.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3><b>5. Pierre Bonnard &#8211; The Redemption Story<\/b><\/h3>\n<p><strong>Trainer:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Aidan O&#8217;Brien<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Odds:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">10\/1 (Betfred ante-post)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best piece of form:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Won the Group 1 Criterium de Saint-Cloud at Saint-Cloud in October 2025 by two lengths under Christophe Soumillon, who described him as a horse with a long acceleration who was still green and had significant improvement in him; the son of Camelot was described by O&#8217;Brien as a Derby horse immediately after that victory.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Trend fit:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pierre Bonnard flopped on his 2026 seasonal return in the Ballysax Stakes at Leopardstown in April, which pushed his price out from 4\/1 to 10\/1; O&#8217;Brien was quick to say the horse was entitled to improve sharply for the run; Camelot colts have a strong record at Epsom, with the sire himself winning the Derby in 2012; he has the pedigree and, when right, the class to be competitive at 10\/1.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Betting appeal:<\/strong> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">At 10\/1 he is the most speculative of the five selections; a small each-way bet makes more sense than a win bet given the uncertainty around his Ballysax flop; if he arrives at Epsom with a positive work report and market support in the week of the race, he could be significantly shorter than 10\/1 by the time the gates open.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><b>The Verdict<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the trends point anywhere, it is towards Item as the most complete profile in the field; an unbeaten Dante Stakes winner, trained by a handler desperate to win the Derby, owned by Juddmonte and bred by Frankel, three from three with his best form coming at the highest level.<\/span><\/p>\n<p data-start=\"471\" data-end=\"687\">And Benvenuto Cellini as the each-way value pick at 3\/1; the Chester Vase in dominant fashion is the exact preparation O&#8217;Brien used with last year&#8217;s winner Lambourn, and you do not bet against Aidan O&#8217;Brien at Epsom.<\/p>\n<p data-start=\"692\" data-end=\"865\">For those exploring the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/7bet.co.uk\/betting\/horse-racing\">horse racing betting <\/a>markets ahead of the Derby, both runners stand out as compelling options based on current form and historical trends.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But in the Epsom Derby, there are no certainties &#8211; only good reasons to watch.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><em><strong><span style=\"color: #18ae62;\">Betting is only available to participants aged 18 years and over. Please bet responsibly. GambleAware.org<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The trends are clear: you want a lightly raced three-year-old with no more than five career starts, a Dante Stakes<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":14,"featured_media":16456,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[464],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-horse-racing"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Epsom Derby 2026: 5 Horses to Follow &amp; Best Betting Picks<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Discover the top five contenders for the Epsom Derby 2026. 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